Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a battle of styles that the game of MMA was created for. Perhaps the best striker in the game vs the best grappler in the sport is a dream struggle for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the current UFC lightweight winner, is preferred to win at -170 with McGregor coming back in +140. The mega-fight will take place tonight in vegas at UFC 229.
From a promotional standpoint, making that the battle is a dream come true for the UFC since it will definitely be among the most lucrative events in their history, and from a gaming perspective, there is plenty of money to be produced also. McGregor fans will be foaming at the mouth to put a bet on the Irishman, especially at plus-money, but is that a smart wager versus the 26-0 Nurmagomedov, whose smothering grappling design was completely unsolvable?
McGregor’s grappling skills are probably in the typical selection and that is a place where he has been taken advantage of before. A much smaller Chad Mendes easily took McGregor to the mat if he wished to at UFC 189 (yes, I understand McGregor won the fight), and he was choked out by Nate Diaz at UFC 196.
He can have a substantial drawback when it comes to wrestling, but there are different areas where McGregor could have a definite upper hand, most notably with his hands. Eighteen of his 21 professional wins have come through T/KO and he’s got an extremely impressive hit list which includes endings of Jose Aldo, Eddie Alvarez, Dustin Poirier and, needless to say, Paulie Malignaggi (insert smiley face emoji here).
Line Movement (or lack thereof)
In the event the amount of betting action McGregor received vs Floyd Mayweather is any indicator, some bettors clearly do not care how he matches stylistically — following launching at +950 vs Mayweather, McGregor closed at +265 because of an avalanche of bets placed on him.
Many, including myself, presumed we would have seen far more motion online as a result of plenty of people cash coming in on McGregor, but this has not been the case however. On the afternoon Khabib vs McGregor was declared, Nurmagomedov opened at -200 with McGregor at +160. With the champ now at -170 and Conor at +140 on the afternoon of the fight, there’s still pretty good value on McGregor as a puppy and those who are confident in Khabib should feel great about getting him at a much better number than his opening chances.
Read more: secularnews.org