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NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag drops at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second success of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and is listed at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are just six drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Bristol odds better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your 2019 Food City 500 choices, see the NASCAR in Bristol predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was also all over Kyle Busch as a top contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the motorists in McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sunday, we can tell you the model is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way to the front of the pack from the starting position in that race and has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to win at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR seen Bristol and will again start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this season too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third at Atlanta.

Along with a massive shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the best Vegas favorites at 12-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he’s commanding.

Read more: gogolfsandiego.com

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